Wildcard vs Gentle Mates: Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wildcard (United States) face Gentle Mates (Spain) in a best-of-3 at Stake Ranked Episode 3 on Wednesday, 15 July 2026. Over the last six months Wildcard have won 66% of their 35 matches against Gentle Mates's 62% of 47. Recent form: Wildcard took 4 of their last 5, Gentle Mates 2 of their last 5. The betting market makes Wildcard the favorite at 51% implied probability, while our model leans Gentle Mates.

Stake Ranked Episode 3BO3UPCOMING
Wildcard
Wildcard
United States
15:00
Wed 15 Jul · UTC
Watch on starladder
Gentle Mates
Gentle Mates
Spain

Prediction

Wildcard51%
49%Gentle Mates

Market-implied probability from live odds (1.86 / 1.94, margin removed) — historically the most accurate public predictor. Favorites win ~82% of CS2 matches in our 2,131-match backtest.

CS2WH ModelGentle Mates 51%65.4% on 6,000-match holdout
Model vs MarketDisagreeGentle Mates vs Wildcard, 2 pts apart — historically this meant our model was missing something (backtest: −63 to −86% ROI). Tracked on the accuracy page.

Team Comparison

Last 180 days · 35 vs 47 matches
66%
Match win rate
62%
56%
Round win rate
53%
54%
T-side rounds
48%
58%
CT-side rounds
58%
52%
Pistol rounds
51%

Recent Form

Wildcard
WWWWL
Gentle Mates
LWLWL

Head-to-Head

No recent head-to-head meetings.

Lineups

Wildcard logoWildcard
MHmhL
SPsplawik
NEnEMANHA
CXcxzi
HEHexT
REreck
Gentle Mates logoGentle Mates
MOmopoz
ALalex
DAdav1g
SAsausol
DEdeLonge
RErepk3ys

Bet on this match (18+)

CSGOEmpire odds are live and move until match start. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Gamble responsibly: resources.

FAQ

Who is favored to win Wildcard vs Gentle Mates?

The betting market favors Wildcard with a 51% implied win probability (margin removed). The CS2WH model (65.4% holdout accuracy) picks Gentle Mates. No outcome is certain — underdogs win roughly one CS2 match in five.

When is Wildcard vs Gentle Mates?

The best-of-3 match starts on Wednesday, 15 July 2026 at 15:00 UTC, part of Stake Ranked Episode 3.

Where can I bet on Wildcard vs Gentle Mates?

Esports betting sites we have reviewed — including CSGOEmpire, 500 Casino and Duelbits — offer markets on this match. 18+ only; odds move until match start, and you should never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Predictions are informational analysis, not betting advice. Probabilities are market-implied (vig removed) · methodology & track record on the accuracy page.

Wildcard vs Gentle Mates Prediction, Odds & Stats (15 Jul 2026)