THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak: Result & Stats

On Friday, 17 July 2026, THUNDER dOWNUNDER (TD) faced Mindfreak in a best-of-1 at HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026. The tie sits in Group A of a C-tier event with $6,896 in prize money on the line. Over the past six months THUNDER dOWNUNDER have won 76% of their 41 matches; Mindfreak have won 46% of 35. THUNDER dOWNUNDER come in on 3 wins from their last 5, Mindfreak on 2 from 5. On the map pool, THUNDER dOWNUNDER's Mirage stands out — 5–1 across their last 6 plays on it. They have met 5 times, and THUNDER dOWNUNDER lead 4–1. THUNDER dOWNUNDER won the series 1–0.

HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026 · $6,896BO1FINISHED
10
THUNDER dOWNUNDER wins
Mindfreak logo
Mindfreak
Australia
MAP 1Inferno
13–5FINISHED

Map Veto

who banned and picked what
banDust2banned by Mindfreak
banMiragebanned by THUNDER dOWNUNDER
banAnubisbanned by Mindfreak
banAncientbanned by THUNDER dOWNUNDER
banCachebanned by Mindfreak
banNukebanned by THUNDER dOWNUNDER
deciderInfernoleft over — decider135

A team playing its own pick tends to win more often than its overall form suggests — which is why we do not price the per-map betting markets before the veto is known.

THUNDER dOWNUNDER won 1–0. Market favorite (THUNDER dOWNUNDER) was right ✓ — every graded pick lands on the accuracy page.

Team Comparison

Last 180 days · 41 vs 35 matches
76%
Match win rate
46%
58%
Round win rate
51%
52%
T-side rounds
49%
63%
CT-side rounds
54%
57%
Pistol rounds
54%

Map Pool

THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak — W–L per map
23–9
Inferno · in this series
14–9
23–8
Nuke
11–12
16–5
Anubis
10–9
14–8
Dust2
4–1
6–3
Overpass
7–6
5–1
Mirage
4–8
6–5
Ancient

Counted from each team's recent finished matches: 132 maps for THUNDER dOWNUNDER, 95 for Mindfreak. A strong map here often decides the veto — and a team playing its own pick tends to overperform its overall form.

Recent Form

THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Mindfreak

Head-to-Head

  • 17 Jul 2026: THUNDER dOWNUNDER won 1–0
  • 14 Mar 2026: THUNDER dOWNUNDER won 2–0
  • 28 Feb 2026: Mindfreak won 0–3
  • 27 Feb 2026: THUNDER dOWNUNDER won 2–0
  • 26 Feb 2026: THUNDER dOWNUNDER won 2–0

Lineups

DEdexter0.88 K/D · 75 ADR
LILiazz1.14 K/D · 75 ADR
ALaliStair1.12 K/D · 70 ADR
ASasap1.12 K/D · 82 ADR
VIviridian
TJTjP0.85 K/D · 69 ADR
VOvoid1.12 K/D · 66 ADR
EVevelyn
LAlawlkay0.95 K/D · 69 ADR
PHphoebe1.02 K/D · 74 ADR
KAkairo
ZUzune0.94 K/D · 82 ADR

K/D and average damage per round (ADR) over each player's last three months of matches.

Pre-match odds

The price at kick-off (11:57 PM) — what our prediction was graded against. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Gamble responsibly: resources.

Line Movement

pre-match prices only · THUNDER dOWNUNDER implied %

CSGOEmpire opened THUNDER dOWNUNDER at 1.08 (86% implied). By kick-off the price was 1.08 (86%) over 4 days of pricing — the line has barely moved.

More CS2 Predictions

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FAQ

When was THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak?

The best-of-1 match was played on Friday, 17 July 2026, part of HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026. THUNDER dOWNUNDER won 1–0.

What maps were played in THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak?

The best-of-1 was played on Inferno (decider).

What is the head-to-head record between THUNDER dOWNUNDER and Mindfreak?

THUNDER dOWNUNDER lead the recent head-to-head 4–1 across their last 5 meetings. Most recently, THUNDER dOWNUNDER won 1–0 on 17 Jul 2026.

Predictions are informational analysis, not betting advice. Probabilities are market-implied (vig removed) · methodology & track record on the accuracy page.