Rooster vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER: Prediction, Odds & Stats

Rooster play THUNDER dOWNUNDER in a best-of-3 at HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026 on Friday, 17 July 2026. Over the past six months Rooster have won 65% of their 37 matches; THUNDER dOWNUNDER have won 79% of 38. Rooster come in on 4 wins from their last 5, THUNDER dOWNUNDER on 2 from 5. They have met 3 times, and THUNDER dOWNUNDER lead 3–0. The betting market makes THUNDER dOWNUNDER the favourite at 82%. We are not backing either side here.

HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026BO3LIVE
Rooster logo
Rooster
Australia
01
THUNDER dOWNUNDER logo
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Australia
MAP 1Anubis
4–13FINISHED
MAP 2Nuke
UPCOMING
MAP 3Dust2
UPCOMING

Live Scoreboard

Nuke · Round 10 · in progress
Rooster0:9THUNDER dOWNUNDER
RoosterT
$11,700 equip
PLAYERKDARATING
ju1ces4904.50
skullhunter6904.28
ADK3913.75
rekonz21023.48
Chelleos3903.09
THUNDER dOWNUNDERCT
$26,250 equip
PLAYERKDARATING
asap13118.64
TjP13318.54
dexter10858.21
aliStair8237.84
Liazz2424.43

Prediction

THUNDER dOWNUNDER logo
Our prediction
THUNDER dOWNUNDER to win
61%
chance to win
CSGOEmpire
Price at kick-off
1.13 at CSGOEmpire
Bet live at CSGOEmpire →

No bet from us. Our model disagrees with the bookmaker by more than we trust ourselves to be right about. A gap that big usually means the book knows something we cannot see — a stand-in, a roster change — so we stand aside. 18+.

Map score prediction

How the maps fall in this Bo3, from the same model family as our winner prediction. We make a call only when the model clears 65% confidence — every call is frozen at kick-off and graded on the accuracy page.

Map handicap
No call — too close
We give a THUNDER dOWNUNDER 2–0 sweep a 51% chance
Total maps
No call — too close
We give a third map a 41% chance

Model predictions graded on results — not betting advice, and not a claim of value against any bookmaker's price. 18+.

Team Comparison

Last 180 days · 37 vs 38 matches
65%
Match win rate
79%
51%
Round win rate
58%
52%
T-side rounds
54%
50%
CT-side rounds
63%
53%
Pistol rounds
60%

Recent Form

Rooster
WWWLW
THUNDER dOWNUNDER
WLLLW

Head-to-Head

  • 8 Feb 2026: THUNDER dOWNUNDER won 0–2
  • 31 Jan 2026: THUNDER dOWNUNDER won 0–2
  • 13 Dec 2025: THUNDER dOWNUNDER won 0–2

Lineups

Rooster logoRooster
CHchelleos
ADADK
JUju1ces
RErekonz
SKSkulL
THUNDER dOWNUNDER logoTHUNDER dOWNUNDER
DEdexter
LILiazz
ALaliStair
ASasap
VIviridian
TJTjP

Bet on this match (18+)

CSGOEmpire's current in-play price — it moves with the scoreline. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Gamble responsibly: resources.

More Markets at CSGOEmpire (18+)

in-play prices — they move with the scoreline, and we don’t rate these

These are CSGOEmpire's prices, shown for reference — we make no recommendation on them. Per-map winner and round markets can't be honestly judged before the veto reveals whose pick each map is. Our own map handicap and total-maps forecast is in the Map score prediction card above, with its own graded record — it is a prediction, not a claim of value against these prices. Odds move until kick-off. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. 18+, gamble responsibly.

FAQ

Who is favored to win Rooster vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER?

The betting market favors THUNDER dOWNUNDER with a 82% implied win probability (margin removed). The CS2WH model (65.4% holdout accuracy) picks THUNDER dOWNUNDER. No outcome is certain — underdogs win roughly one CS2 match in five.

When is Rooster vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER?

The best-of-3 match starts on Friday, 17 July 2026 at 03:15 UTC, part of HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026.

Where can I bet on Rooster vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER?

Esports betting sites we have reviewed — including CSGOEmpire, 500 Casino and Duelbits — offer markets on this match. 18+ only; odds move until match start, and you should never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Predictions are informational analysis, not betting advice. Probabilities are market-implied (vig removed) · methodology & track record on the accuracy page.