G2 Ares vs Lilmix: Prediction, Odds & Stats

G2 Ares (Germany) face Lilmix (Sweden) in a best-of-3 at NODWIN Clutch Series 10 on Thursday, 16 July 2026. Over the last six months G2 Ares have won 54% of their 54 matches against Lilmix's 27% of 63. Recent form: G2 Ares took 1 of their last 5, Lilmix 1 of their last 5. In their last 3 head-to-head meetings, G2 Ares lead 2–1. The betting market makes G2 Ares the favorite at 79% implied probability, while our model leans G2 Ares.

NODWIN Clutch Series 10BO3UPCOMING
G2 Ares
G2 Ares
Germany
Watch on Nodwin_CS2
Lilmix
Lilmix
Sweden

Prediction

G2 Ares79%
21%Lilmix

Market-implied probability from live odds (1.19 / 4.45, margin removed) — historically the most accurate public predictor. Favorites win ~82% of CS2 matches in our 2,131-match backtest.

CS2WH ModelG2 Ares 77%65.4% on 6,000-match holdout
Model vs MarketAgreeBoth lean G2 Ares — when they agree, the favorite wins ~84% of the time.

Team Comparison

Last 180 days · 54 vs 63 matches
54%
Match win rate
27%
50%
Round win rate
46%
45%
T-side rounds
44%
56%
CT-side rounds
47%
50%
Pistol rounds
49%

Recent Form

G2 Ares
LLLLW
Lilmix
LWLLL

Head-to-Head

  • 27 May 2026: G2 Ares won 2–1
  • 25 May 2026: Lilmix won 0–2
  • 2 May 2026: G2 Ares won 2–0

Lineups

G2 Ares logoG2 Ares
SHSHiNE
TAtAk
KLkl1m
INinnersh1ne
HIHitori
JUJunyme
Lilmix logoLilmix
QUquix
JAJackinho
B0b0denmaster
WOWonder
WAwalleN

Bet on this match (18+)

CSGOEmpire odds are live and move until match start. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Gamble responsibly: resources.

FAQ

Who is favored to win G2 Ares vs Lilmix?

The betting market favors G2 Ares with a 79% implied win probability (margin removed). The CS2WH model (65.4% holdout accuracy) picks G2 Ares. No outcome is certain — underdogs win roughly one CS2 match in five.

When is G2 Ares vs Lilmix?

The best-of-3 match starts on Thursday, 16 July 2026 at 11:00 UTC, part of NODWIN Clutch Series 10.

Where can I bet on G2 Ares vs Lilmix?

Esports betting sites we have reviewed — including CSGOEmpire, 500 Casino and Duelbits — offer markets on this match. 18+ only; odds move until match start, and you should never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Predictions are informational analysis, not betting advice. Probabilities are market-implied (vig removed) · methodology & track record on the accuracy page.