Spirit vs MOUZ: Prediction, Odds & Stats

Spirit meet MOUZ on Sunday, 2 August 2026 in a best-of-5 at BLAST Bounty Summer 2026. The tie sits in Stage 2 of an S-tier event with $740,000 in prize money on the line. Six-month records: 80% of 35 matches won for Spirit, 61% of 44 for MOUZ. Both come in on 4 wins from their last 5. On the map pool, MOUZ's Overpass stands out — 9–1 across their last 10 plays on it. They have met 4 times, and Spirit lead 4–0. The betting market makes Spirit the favourite at 79%. We are not backing either side here.

BLAST Bounty Summer 2026 · $740,000BO5UPCOMING
Spirit logo
Spirit
Russian Federation
MOUZ logo
MOUZ
Germany

Prediction

Spirit logo
Our prediction
Spirit to win
58%
chance to win
CSGOEmpire
Best odds on Spirit
1.21 at CSGOEmpire
See odds at CSGOEmpire →

No bet from us. Our numbers are so far from the bookmaker's that we're probably the ones missing something. 18+.

Team Comparison

Last 180 days · 35 vs 44 matches
80%
Match win rate
61%
56%
Round win rate
53%
53%
T-side rounds
48%
60%
CT-side rounds
59%
53%
Pistol rounds
50%

Map Pool

Spirit vs MOUZ — W–L per map
31–10
Dust2
8–13
20–12
Mirage
15–7
15–5
Ancient
5–6
8–8
Nuke
9–6
7–6
Overpass
9–1
Inferno
11–7
7–4
Anubis

Counted from each team's recent finished matches: 137 maps for Spirit, 97 for MOUZ. A strong map here often decides the veto — and a team playing its own pick tends to overperform its overall form.

Recent Form

Spirit
MOUZ

Head-to-Head

  • 16 May 2026: Spirit won 2–0
  • 17 Apr 2026: Spirit won 2–0
  • 8 Feb 2026: Spirit won 2–0
  • 5 Dec 2025: Spirit won 2–1

Lineups

CHchopper
SHsh1ro1.53 K/D · 78 ADR
MAmagixx0.96 K/D · 69 ADR
ZOzont1x0.96 K/D · 70 ADR
TNtN1R1.06 K/D · 72 ADR
HAhally
SYsycrone
SPSpinx0.99 K/D · 71 ADR
TOtorzsi1.29 K/D · 70 ADR
XExertioN1.18 K/D · 89 ADR
PRPR1.04 K/D · 77 ADR
XExelex1.03 K/D · 69 ADR

K/D and average damage per round (ADR) over each player's last three months of matches.

Bet on this match (18+)

CSGOEmpire's pre-match price — it moves until kick-off; what we show refreshes every few minutes. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Gamble responsibly: resources.

Line Movement

pre-match prices only · Spirit implied %

CSGOEmpire opened Spirit at 1.23 (78% implied). The latest pre-match price is 1.21 (79%) over 1h of pricing — the line has barely moved.

More Markets at CSGOEmpire (18+)

prices only — we don’t rate these
Map winner
Map 1 winnerSpirit1.42MOUZ2.88
Map 2 winnerSpirit1.42MOUZ2.88
Map 3 winnerSpirit1.42MOUZ2.88
Map handicap

These are CSGOEmpire's prices, shown for reference — we make no recommendation on them. Per-map winner and round markets can't be honestly judged before the veto reveals whose pick each map is. When one of these markets is a better bet than the match winner by our numbers, it appears as our pick in the Prediction box above — otherwise we're not backing it. Odds move until kick-off. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. 18+, gamble responsibly.

More CS2 Predictions

all matches →

FAQ

Who is favored to win Spirit vs MOUZ?

The betting market favors Spirit with a 79% implied win probability (margin removed). The CS2WH model (65.4% holdout accuracy) picks Spirit. No outcome is certain — underdogs win roughly one CS2 match in five.

When is Spirit vs MOUZ?

The best-of-5 match starts on Sunday, 2 August 2026 at 10:30 UTC, part of BLAST Bounty Summer 2026.

What is the head-to-head record between Spirit and MOUZ?

Spirit lead the recent head-to-head 4–0 across their last 4 meetings. Most recently, Spirit won 2–0 on 16 May 2026.

Where can I bet on Spirit vs MOUZ?

Esports betting sites we have reviewed — including CSGOEmpire, 500 Casino and Duelbits — offer markets on this match. 18+ only; odds move until match start, and you should never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Predictions are informational analysis, not betting advice. Probabilities are market-implied (vig removed) · methodology & track record on the accuracy page.