Astralis vs MOUZ: Prediction, Odds & Stats

Astralis play MOUZ in a best-of-3 at BLAST Bounty Summer 2026 on Saturday, 1 August 2026. The tie sits in Stage 2 of an S-tier event with $740,000 in prize money on the line. Astralis arrive with a 57% win rate over 42 matches in the past six months, against MOUZ's 62% over 45. Both come in on 3 wins from their last 5. On the map pool, MOUZ's Overpass stands out — 9–1 across their last 10 plays on it. They have met once before, and MOUZ won it. Bookmakers price MOUZ as the 72% favourite. We are not backing either side here.

BLAST Bounty Summer 2026 · $740,000BO3UPCOMING
Astralis logo
Astralis
Denmark
MOUZ logo
MOUZ
Germany

Prediction

MOUZ logo
Our prediction
MOUZ to win
76%
chance to win
CSGOEmpire
Best odds on MOUZ
1.33 at CSGOEmpire
See odds at CSGOEmpire →

No bet from us. The payout is too small for the risk. 18+.

Team Comparison

Last 180 days · 42 vs 45 matches
57%
Match win rate
62%
51%
Round win rate
54%
43%
T-side rounds
48%
58%
CT-side rounds
59%
49%
Pistol rounds
50%

Map Pool

Astralis vs MOUZ — W–L per map
10–16
Mirage
14–7
12–14
Nuke
9–7
6–15
Dust2
7–14
18–7
Ancient
5–5
14–8
Overpass
9–1
9–4
Inferno
11–7
2–1
Cache

Counted from each team's recent finished matches: 138 maps for Astralis, 96 for MOUZ. A strong map here often decides the veto — and a team playing its own pick tends to overperform its overall form.

Recent Form

Astralis
MOUZ
WWWLL

Head-to-Head

  • 7 Mar 2026: MOUZ won 1–2

Lineups

NENEO
HOHooXi0.73 K/D · 60 ADR
JAjabbi1.15 K/D · 78 ADR
RYryu1.04 K/D · 70 ADR
STStaehr1.12 K/D · 84 ADR
PHphzy0.94 K/D · 64 ADR
SYsycrone
SPSpinx0.99 K/D · 71 ADR
TOtorzsi1.29 K/D · 70 ADR
XExertioN1.18 K/D · 89 ADR
PRPR1.03 K/D · 77 ADR
XExelex1.03 K/D · 69 ADR

K/D and average damage per round (ADR) over each player's last three months of matches.

Bet on this match (18+)

CSGOEmpire's pre-match price — it moves until kick-off; what we show refreshes every few minutes. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Gamble responsibly: resources.

Line Movement

pre-match prices only · MOUZ implied %

CSGOEmpire opened MOUZ at 1.34 (71% implied). The latest pre-match price is 1.33 (72%) over 1h of pricing — the line has barely moved.

More Markets at CSGOEmpire (18+)

prices only — we don’t rate these
Map winner
Map handicap
Total maps

These are CSGOEmpire's prices, shown for reference — we make no recommendation on them. Per-map winner and round markets can't be honestly judged before the veto reveals whose pick each map is. When one of these markets is a better bet than the match winner by our numbers, it appears as our pick in the Prediction box above — otherwise we're not backing it. Odds move until kick-off. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. 18+, gamble responsibly.

More CS2 Predictions

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FAQ

Who is favored to win Astralis vs MOUZ?

The betting market favors MOUZ with a 72% implied win probability (margin removed). The CS2WH model (65.4% holdout accuracy) picks MOUZ. No outcome is certain — underdogs win roughly one CS2 match in five.

When is Astralis vs MOUZ?

The best-of-3 match starts on Saturday, 1 August 2026 at 13:30 UTC, part of BLAST Bounty Summer 2026.

Where can I bet on Astralis vs MOUZ?

Esports betting sites we have reviewed — including CSGOEmpire, 500 Casino and Duelbits — offer markets on this match. 18+ only; odds move until match start, and you should never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Predictions are informational analysis, not betting advice. Probabilities are market-implied (vig removed) · methodology & track record on the accuracy page.