Ground Zero vs Arcade: Prediction, Odds & Stats

Ground Zero (Australia) face Arcade (Australia) in a best-of-1 at HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026 on Friday, 17 July 2026. Over the last six months Ground Zero have won 50% of their 44 matches against Arcade's 39% of 18. Recent form: Ground Zero took 3 of their last 5, Arcade 2 of their last 5. In their last 1 head-to-head meeting, Ground Zero lead 0–1. The betting market makes Ground Zero the favorite at 74% implied probability, while our model leans Ground Zero.

HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026BO1UPCOMING
Ground Zero
Ground Zero
Australia
Arcade
Arcade
Australia

Prediction

Ground Zero74%
26%Arcade

Market-implied probability from live odds (1.26 / 3.50, margin removed) — historically the most accurate public predictor. Favorites win ~82% of CS2 matches in our 2,131-match backtest.

CS2WH ModelGround Zero 58%65.4% on 6,000-match holdout
Model vs MarketAgreeBoth lean Ground Zero — when they agree, the favorite wins ~84% of the time.

Team Comparison

Last 180 days · 44 vs 18 matches
50%
Match win rate
39%
50%
Round win rate
49%
48%
T-side rounds
46%
52%
CT-side rounds
51%
47%
Pistol rounds
57%

Recent Form

Ground Zero
LLWWW
Arcade
LLWLW

Head-to-Head

  • 17 Mar 2026: Arcade won 0–2

Lineups

Ground Zero logoGround Zero
HAhazr
APapocdud
TUtucks
SLSliimey
OMOmichella
VIvision
Arcade logoArcade
N1N1ghtraid
MEmechanical
WIWinnieeeee
7474LOR
KRKras

Bet on this match (18+)

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FAQ

Who is favored to win Ground Zero vs Arcade?

The betting market favors Ground Zero with a 74% implied win probability (margin removed). The CS2WH model (65.4% holdout accuracy) picks Ground Zero. No outcome is certain — underdogs win roughly one CS2 match in five.

When is Ground Zero vs Arcade?

The best-of-1 match starts on Friday, 17 July 2026 at 05:00 UTC, part of HyperX & Intel Nationals 2026.

Where can I bet on Ground Zero vs Arcade?

Esports betting sites we have reviewed — including CSGOEmpire, 500 Casino and Duelbits — offer markets on this match. 18+ only; odds move until match start, and you should never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Predictions are informational analysis, not betting advice. Probabilities are market-implied (vig removed) · methodology & track record on the accuracy page.