Arch vs Dark Moon: Prediction, Odds & Stats

On Monday, 10 August 2026, Arch face Dark Moon (DM) in a best-of-1 at ESEA Season 58: Advanced Division - Europe. The tie sits in Regular Season of a C-tier event. Over the past six months Arch have won 64% of their 11 matches; Dark Moon have won 20% of 5. Recent form reads 2–3 for Arch and 3–2 for Dark Moon. The betting market makes Arch the favourite at 54%. We are not backing either side here.

ESEA Season 58: Advanced Division - EuropeBO1UPCOMING
Arch logo
Arch
Russian Federation
Dark Moon
Kazakhstan

Prediction

Arch logo
Our prediction
Arch to win
68%
chance to win
Best odds on Arch
1.72 across the bookmakers
Visit CSGOEmpire →

No bet from us. CSGOEmpire doesn't offer odds on this match, so there's nothing to bet. 18+.

Team Comparison

Last 180 days · 11 vs 5 matches
64%
Match win rate
20%
51%
Round win rate
39%
51%
T-side rounds
39%
50%
CT-side rounds
39%
46%
Pistol rounds
41%

Map Pool

Arch vs Dark Moon, W–L per map
5–3
Dust2
1–1
3–1
Ancient
1–5
5–4
Anubis
4–4
Mirage
0–1
0–1
Overpass
1–1

Counted from each team's recent finished matches: 33 maps for Arch, 12 for Dark Moon. A strong map here often decides the veto, and a team playing its own pick tends to overperform its overall form.

Recent Form

Arch
LLLWW
Dark Moon

Head-to-Head

No recent head-to-head meetings.

Lineups

KAka1do1.28 K/D · 76 ADR
DIDis1-1.02 K/D · 85 ADR
WEweb sun
F1f1R
MAMaLLiC1.01 K/D · 72 ADR
MAMaison0.85 K/D · 70 ADR
KEkeiyon0.82 K/D · 71 ADR
D3d3j4vy0.61 K/D · 62 ADR
RIri0dayungog
RURui

K/D and average damage per round (ADR) over each player's last three months of matches.

Bet on this match (18+)

Affiliate links, we may earn a commission. Gamble responsibly: resources.

Line Movement

pre-match prices only · Arch implied %

The market opened Arch at 1.72 (54% implied). The latest pre-match price is 1.61 (58%) over 9 days of pricing, money has come in on them.

More CS2 Predictions

all matches →

FAQ

Who is favored to win Arch vs Dark Moon?

The betting market favors Arch with a 54% implied win probability (margin removed). The CS2WH model (65.4% holdout accuracy) picks Arch. No outcome is certain, underdogs win roughly one CS2 match in five.

When is Arch vs Dark Moon?

The best-of-1 match starts on Monday, 10 August 2026 at 15:00 UTC, part of ESEA Season 58: Advanced Division - Europe.

Where can I bet on Arch vs Dark Moon?

Esports betting sites we have reviewed, including CSGOEmpire, 500 Casino and Duelbits, offer markets on this match. 18+ only; odds move until match start, and you should never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Predictions are informational analysis, not betting advice. Probabilities are market-implied (vig removed) · methodology & track record on the accuracy page.