Dark Moon vs Phantom Academy: Prediction, Odds & Stats

Dark Moon (DM) play Phantom Academy (PA) in a best-of-1 at ESEA Season 58: Advanced Division - Europe on Sunday, 9 August 2026. The tie sits in Regular Season of a C-tier event. Dark Moon arrive with a 20% win rate over 5 matches in the past six months, against Phantom Academy's 60% over 15. Dark Moon come in on 3 wins from their last 5, Phantom Academy on 4 from 5. On the map pool, Phantom Academy's Mirage stands out, 16–6 across their last 22 plays on it. Bookmakers price Phantom Academy as the 54% favourite. We are not backing either side here.

ESEA Season 58: Advanced Division - EuropeBO1UPCOMING
Dark Moon
Kazakhstan

Prediction

Phantom Academy logo
Our prediction
Phantom Academy to win
66%
chance to win
Best odds on Phantom Academy
1.72 across the bookmakers
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No bet from us. CSGOEmpire doesn't offer odds on this match, so there's nothing to bet. 18+.

Team Comparison

Last 180 days · 5 vs 15 matches
20%
Match win rate
60%
39%
Round win rate
53%
39%
T-side rounds
47%
39%
CT-side rounds
59%
41%
Pistol rounds
48%

Map Pool

Dark Moon vs Phantom Academy, W–L per map
1–5
Ancient
10–11
0–1
Mirage
16–6
1–1
Dust2
5–8
1–1
Overpass
3–6
Nuke
5–3
Anubis
2–2

Counted from each team's recent finished matches: 12 maps for Dark Moon, 79 for Phantom Academy. A strong map here often decides the veto, and a team playing its own pick tends to overperform its overall form.

Recent Form

Dark Moon
WWWLL
Phantom Academy

Head-to-Head

No recent head-to-head meetings.

Lineups

MAMaison0.85 K/D · 70 ADR
KEkeiyon0.82 K/D · 71 ADR
D3d3j4vy0.61 K/D · 62 ADR
RIri0dayungog
RURui
BOBoll
BRbrain1.25 K/D · 79 ADR
ADAder1.36 K/D · 82 ADR
CHchedzik
AYAyteel1.03 K/D · 65 ADR
KUKunai0.96 K/D · 74 ADR

K/D and average damage per round (ADR) over each player's last three months of matches.

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FAQ

Who is favored to win Dark Moon vs Phantom Academy?

The betting market favors Phantom Academy with a 54% implied win probability (margin removed). The CS2WH model (65.4% holdout accuracy) picks Phantom Academy. No outcome is certain, underdogs win roughly one CS2 match in five.

When is Dark Moon vs Phantom Academy?

The best-of-1 match starts on Sunday, 9 August 2026 at 19:00 UTC, part of ESEA Season 58: Advanced Division - Europe.

Where can I bet on Dark Moon vs Phantom Academy?

Esports betting sites we have reviewed, including CSGOEmpire, 500 Casino and Duelbits, offer markets on this match. 18+ only; odds move until match start, and you should never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Predictions are informational analysis, not betting advice. Probabilities are market-implied (vig removed) · methodology & track record on the accuracy page.