Inner Circle vs HOTU: Prediction, Odds & Stats

Inner Circle (IC) play HOTU in a best-of-3 at Esports World Cup 2026: Open Qualifier on Sunday, 9 August 2026. The tie sits in Play-Ins of a B-tier event with $100,000 in prize money on the line. Inner Circle arrive with a 59% win rate over 46 matches in the past six months, against HOTU's 65% over 57. Inner Circle come in on 5 wins from their last 5, HOTU on 3 from 5. On the map pool, HOTU's Anubis stands out, 5–1 across their last 6 plays on it. They have met once before, and HOTU won it. Bookmakers price Inner Circle as the 50% favourite.

Esports World Cup 2026: Open Qualifier · $100,000BO3LIVE
00
Map 1 · Ancient
Watch on dayneez
HOTU logo
HOTU
Russian Federation
MAP 1Ancient
· · ·LIVE
MAP 2Nuke
UPCOMING
MAP 3Anubis
UPCOMING

Prediction

HOTU logo
Our prediction
HOTU to win
59%
chance to win
CSGOEmpire
Price at kick-off
1.89 at CSGOEmpire
Bet live at CSGOEmpire →

Team Comparison

Last 180 days · 46 vs 57 matches
59%
Match win rate
65%
52%
Round win rate
53%
49%
T-side rounds
52%
56%
CT-side rounds
55%
50%
Pistol rounds
52%

Map Pool

Inner Circle vs HOTU, W–L per map
23–10
Dust2
18–10
19–12
Ancient · in this series
10–10
15–18
Mirage
5–6
9–8
Nuke · in this series
9–6
6–7
Overpass
1–4
6–6
Anubis · in this series
5–1
1–0
Cache
6–4

Counted from each team's recent finished matches: 140 maps for Inner Circle, 95 for HOTU. A strong map here often decides the veto, and a team playing its own pick tends to overperform its overall form.

Recent Form

Inner Circle
WWWWW
HOTU

Head-to-Head

  • 25 Mar 2026: HOTU won 0–2

Lineups

JRjR
HEheadtr1ck1.37 K/D · 74 ADR
CPcptkurtka0231.00 K/D · 76 ADR
NInifee
ONonic0.95 K/D · 70 ADR
ZEzeRRoFIX1.08 K/D · 73 ADR
MOmou
N0n0rb3r71.07 K/D · 79 ADR
KAkade00.88 K/D · 68 ADR
MImizu1.19 K/D · 83 ADR
LAlampada
DWdwushka1.07 K/D · 75 ADR

K/D and average damage per round (ADR) over each player's last three months of matches.

Bet on this match (18+)

The price at kick-off (12:27 PM), what our prediction was graded against. Affiliate links, we may earn a commission. Gamble responsibly: resources.

Line Movement

pre-match prices only · Inner Circle implied %

CSGOEmpire opened Inner Circle at 1.78 (53% implied). By kick-off the price was 1.77 (53%) over 1h of pricing, the line has barely moved.

More CS2 Predictions

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FAQ

Who is favored to win Inner Circle vs HOTU?

The betting market favors Inner Circle with a 50% implied win probability (margin removed). The CS2WH model (65.4% holdout accuracy) picks HOTU. No outcome is certain, underdogs win roughly one CS2 match in five.

When is Inner Circle vs HOTU?

The best-of-3 match starts on Sunday, 9 August 2026 at 12:45 UTC, part of Esports World Cup 2026: Open Qualifier.

What maps will be played in Inner Circle vs HOTU?

The best-of-3 is played on Ancient, Nuke, Anubis.

Where can I watch Inner Circle vs HOTU?

The match is streamed live on dayneez and neret17 and Zerpherr, the stream link is at the top of this page. Watching is free.

Where can I bet on Inner Circle vs HOTU?

Esports betting sites we have reviewed, including CSGOEmpire, 500 Casino and Duelbits, offer markets on this match. 18+ only; odds move until match start, and you should never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Predictions are informational analysis, not betting advice. Probabilities are market-implied (vig removed) · methodology & track record on the accuracy page.