Grêmio vs Keyd Stars: Prediction, Odds & Stats

On Friday, 7 August 2026, Grêmio face Keyd Stars (KS) in a best-of-3 at BetBoom Storm 4. The tie sits in Group Stage of a C-tier event with $10,000 in prize money on the line. Over the past six months Grêmio have won 50% of their 8 matches; Keyd Stars have won 56% of 63. Grêmio come in on 4 wins from their last 5, Keyd Stars on 1 from 5. On the map pool, Grêmio's Inferno stands out, 4–1 across their last 5 plays on it. Bookmakers price Keyd Stars as the 72% favourite. We are not backing either side here.

BetBoom Storm 4 · $10,000BO3UPCOMING
Grêmio logo
Grêmio
Brazil
Watch on dust2br

Prediction

Grêmio logo
Our prediction
Grêmio to win
50%
chance to win
CSGOEmpire
Best odds on Grêmio
3.35 at CSGOEmpire
See odds at CSGOEmpire →

No bet from us. Our numbers are so far from the bookmaker's that we're probably the ones missing something. 18+.

Team Comparison

Last 180 days · 8 vs 63 matches
50%
Match win rate
56%
50%
Round win rate
51%
51%
T-side rounds
47%
49%
CT-side rounds
55%
60%
Pistol rounds
48%

Map Pool

Grêmio vs Keyd Stars, W–L per map
3–2
Dust2
12–8
1–1
Ancient
12–9
0–2
Mirage
9–9
1–1
Nuke
5–12
Anubis
4–5
4–1
Inferno
0–2
1–2
Cache
0–1

Counted from each team's recent finished matches: 20 maps for Grêmio, 90 for Keyd Stars. A strong map here often decides the veto, and a team playing its own pick tends to overperform its overall form.

Recent Form

Grêmio
Keyd Stars

Head-to-Head

No recent head-to-head meetings.

Lineups

MIMITHPUTTINI0.98 K/D · 63 ADR
LUluq
SOsouz4h1.03 K/D · 78 ADR
S1s1lent
BAbalencyy1.00 K/D · 84 ADR
YEyeda0.94 K/D · 70 ADR
DEdelboNi
CKckzao0.97 K/D · 75 ADR
MAmatios1.00 K/D · 76 ADR
ZEzede1.00 K/D · 75 ADR
KAKaos0.07 K/D · 22 ADR
XUxureba0.88 K/D · 68 ADR

K/D and average damage per round (ADR) over each player's last three months of matches.

Bet on this match (18+)

CSGOEmpire's pre-match price, it moves until kick-off; what we show refreshes every few minutes. Affiliate links, we may earn a commission. Gamble responsibly: resources.

More Markets at CSGOEmpire (18+)

prices only, we don’t rate these
Map handicap
Total maps

These are CSGOEmpire's prices, shown for reference — we make no recommendation on them. Per-map winner and round markets can't be honestly judged before the veto reveals whose pick each map is. When one of these markets is a better bet than the match winner by our numbers, it appears as our pick in the Prediction box above, otherwise we're not backing it. Odds move until kick-off. Affiliate links, we may earn a commission. 18+, gamble responsibly.

More CS2 Predictions

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FAQ

Who is favored to win Grêmio vs Keyd Stars?

The betting market favors Keyd Stars with a 72% implied win probability (margin removed). The CS2WH model (65.4% holdout accuracy) picks Grêmio. No outcome is certain, underdogs win roughly one CS2 match in five.

When is Grêmio vs Keyd Stars?

The best-of-3 match starts on Friday, 7 August 2026 at 17:00 UTC, part of BetBoom Storm 4.

Where can I watch Grêmio vs Keyd Stars?

The match is streamed live on dust2br, the stream link is at the top of this page. Watching is free.

Where can I bet on Grêmio vs Keyd Stars?

Esports betting sites we have reviewed, including CSGOEmpire, 500 Casino and Duelbits, offer markets on this match. 18+ only; odds move until match start, and you should never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Predictions are informational analysis, not betting advice. Probabilities are market-implied (vig removed) · methodology & track record on the accuracy page.