ex-RUSTEC vs Butterfly: Prediction, Odds & Stats

On Wednesday, 5 August 2026, ex-RUSTEC face Butterfly in a best-of-3 at NODWIN Clutch Series 10. The tie sits in Playoffs of a B-tier event with $50,000 in prize money on the line. Over the past six months ex-RUSTEC have won 63% of their 19 matches; Butterfly have won 60% of 10. Both come in on 4 wins from their last 5. On the map pool, ex-RUSTEC's Mirage stands out — 5–1 across their last 6 plays on it. The betting market makes Butterfly the favourite at 57%. We are not backing either side here.

NODWIN Clutch Series 10 · $50,000BO3UPCOMING
ex-RUSTEC
Russian Federation
Watch on Nodwin_CS2
Butterfly logo
Butterfly
Russian Federation

Prediction

Butterfly logo
Our prediction
Butterfly to win
52%
chance to win
CSGOEmpire
Best odds on Butterfly
1.64 at CSGOEmpire
See odds at CSGOEmpire →

No bet from us. The payout is too small for the risk. 18+.

Team Comparison

Last 180 days · 19 vs 10 matches
63%
Match win rate
60%
52%
Round win rate
57%
49%
T-side rounds
56%
55%
CT-side rounds
57%
52%
Pistol rounds
50%

Map Pool

ex-RUSTEC vs Butterfly — W–L per map
8–5
Dust2
3–1
3–5
Nuke
4–1
5–1
Mirage
5–1
4–3
Anubis
0–1
2–2
Inferno
0–4
3–2
Cache
1–0
Ancient
4–1

Counted from each team's recent finished matches: 43 maps for ex-RUSTEC, 26 for Butterfly. A strong map here often decides the veto — and a team playing its own pick tends to overperform its overall form.

Recent Form

ex-RUSTEC
Butterfly

Head-to-Head

No recent head-to-head meetings.

Lineups

PAPatsi1.03 K/D · 76 ADR
BRBrilliance0.86 K/D · 70 ADR
DEdEMA
YOyouka1.28 K/D · 78 ADR
YIyiksrezo1.14 K/D · 80 ADR
JAjakekeS0.92 K/D · 73 ADR
NInitzie1.25 K/D · 77 ADR
K1k1ssly0.90 K/D · 72 ADR
EMemiiri
AYayano0.86 K/D · 67 ADR
KUKurama

K/D and average damage per round (ADR) over each player's last three months of matches.

Bet on this match (18+)

CSGOEmpire's pre-match price — it moves until kick-off; what we show refreshes every few minutes. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Gamble responsibly: resources.

More Markets at CSGOEmpire (18+)

prices only — we don’t rate these
Map handicap
Total maps

These are CSGOEmpire's prices, shown for reference — we make no recommendation on them. Per-map winner and round markets can't be honestly judged before the veto reveals whose pick each map is. When one of these markets is a better bet than the match winner by our numbers, it appears as our pick in the Prediction box above — otherwise we're not backing it. Odds move until kick-off. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. 18+, gamble responsibly.

More CS2 Predictions

all matches →

FAQ

Who is favored to win ex-RUSTEC vs Butterfly?

The betting market favors Butterfly with a 57% implied win probability (margin removed). The CS2WH model (65.4% holdout accuracy) picks Butterfly. No outcome is certain — underdogs win roughly one CS2 match in five.

When is ex-RUSTEC vs Butterfly?

The best-of-3 match starts on Wednesday, 5 August 2026 at 17:00 UTC, part of NODWIN Clutch Series 10.

Where can I watch ex-RUSTEC vs Butterfly?

The match is streamed live on Nodwin_CS2 — the stream link is at the top of this page. Watching is free.

Where can I bet on ex-RUSTEC vs Butterfly?

Esports betting sites we have reviewed — including CSGOEmpire, 500 Casino and Duelbits — offer markets on this match. 18+ only; odds move until match start, and you should never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Predictions are informational analysis, not betting advice. Probabilities are market-implied (vig removed) · methodology & track record on the accuracy page.