Aurora vs Nemesis: Prediction, Odds & Stats

Aurora play Nemesis in a best-of-3 at StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026: European Qualifier on Wednesday, 22 July 2026. Over the past six months Aurora have won 58% of their 45 matches; Nemesis have won 67% of 75. Aurora come in on 4 wins from their last 5, Nemesis on 2 from 5. The betting market makes Aurora the favourite at 78%. We are not backing either side here.

StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026: European QualifierBO3LIVE
Aurora logo
Aurora
Russian Federation
10
Map 2 · Dust2
Watch on starladder1
Nemesis logo
Nemesis
Russian Federation
MAP 1Nuke
13–2FINISHED
MAP 2Dust2
· · ·LIVE
MAP 3Mirage
UPCOMING

Prediction

Aurora logo
Our prediction
Aurora to win
75%
chance to win
CSGOEmpire
Price at kick-off
1.21 at CSGOEmpire
Bet live at CSGOEmpire →

No bet from us. Our model does not actually rate Nemesis any higher than it rates every team priced like this. Looking cheap is not the same as being cheap, so there is no bet here. 18+.

Team Comparison

Last 180 days · 45 vs 75 matches
58%
Match win rate
67%
52%
Round win rate
53%
49%
T-side rounds
51%
55%
CT-side rounds
55%
58%
Pistol rounds
48%

Recent Form

Aurora
WLWWW
Nemesis
WLLWL

Head-to-Head

No recent head-to-head meetings.

Lineups

Aurora logoAurora
XAXANTARES
MAMAJ3R
WOwoxic
JIJimpphat
KYkyxsan
ASashhh
Nemesis logoNemesis
SESELLTER
NMNMV
R3r3salt
SDSdaim
TEtex1y
MAmag1k3Y

Bet on this match (18+)

CSGOEmpire's current in-play price — it moves with the scoreline. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. Gamble responsibly: resources.

More Markets at CSGOEmpire (18+)

in-play prices — we don’t rate these
Map winner
Map handicap
Total maps

These are CSGOEmpire's prices, shown for reference — we make no recommendation on them. Per-map winner and round markets can't be honestly judged before the veto reveals whose pick each map is. When one of these markets is a better bet than the match winner by our numbers, it appears as our pick in the Prediction box above — otherwise we're not backing it. Odds move until kick-off. Affiliate links — we may earn a commission. 18+, gamble responsibly.

FAQ

Who is favored to win Aurora vs Nemesis?

The betting market favors Aurora with a 78% implied win probability (margin removed). The CS2WH model (65.4% holdout accuracy) picks Aurora. No outcome is certain — underdogs win roughly one CS2 match in five.

When is Aurora vs Nemesis?

The best-of-3 match starts on Wednesday, 22 July 2026 at 17:00 UTC, part of StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026: European Qualifier.

Where can I bet on Aurora vs Nemesis?

Esports betting sites we have reviewed — including CSGOEmpire, 500 Casino and Duelbits — offer markets on this match. 18+ only; odds move until match start, and you should never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Predictions are informational analysis, not betting advice. Probabilities are market-implied (vig removed) · methodology & track record on the accuracy page.